Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.517206 0.596915 0.683853 0.785585 0.901232 1.028472 1.178939
2025-07-27 0.393554 0.504942 0.638518 0.809870 1.023162 1.279180 1.608981
2025-08-03 0.317877 0.441243 0.599905 0.817546 1.106755 1.476084 1.981412
2025-08-10 0.263322 0.390312 0.563387 0.814241 1.165798 1.637754 2.315418
2025-08-17 0.221057 0.347283 0.528338 0.803705 1.207851 1.774267 2.621838
2025-08-24 0.188836 0.312784 0.498993 0.794743 1.247076 1.905713 2.927847
2025-08-31 0.159195 0.277234 0.462473 0.768868 1.255820 1.990369 3.169187
2025-09-07 0.148899 0.270805 0.469449 0.809661 1.368356 2.236781 3.670491
2025-09-14 0.128364 0.244113 0.440137 0.787989 1.378507 2.324586 3.931584
2025-09-21 0.111149 0.220645 0.413057 0.766245 1.384991 2.404995 4.184526
2025-09-28 0.097292 0.201253 0.390498 0.749226 1.396668 2.493056 4.454451
2025-10-05 0.090074 0.193377 0.387486 0.766182 1.468042 2.685279 4.911743
2025-10-12 0.086015 0.191413 0.395603 0.805119 1.583574 2.964641 5.544494
2025-10-19 0.080459 0.185694 0.395971 0.829592 1.675098 3.209546 6.136689
2025-10-26 0.073714 0.176485 0.388302 0.837411 1.735547 3.402581 6.649252
2025-11-02 0.066677 0.165588 0.375828 0.834028 1.773483 3.556156 7.099244
2025-11-09 0.059816 0.154067 0.360635 0.823255 1.795375 3.680487 7.502396
2025-11-16 0.053892 0.143852 0.346983 0.814090 1.819238 3.809562 7.922573
2025-11-23 0.047369 0.131198 0.326401 0.787629 1.804558 3.861591 8.195812
2025-11-30 0.046263 0.131913 0.336230 0.829345 1.937364 4.216048 9.090043
2025-12-07 0.041102 0.121415 0.318692 0.807183 1.930136 4.285882 9.416305
2025-12-14 0.036523 0.111743 0.301937 0.784947 1.920448 4.349300 9.732784
2025-12-21 0.032714 0.103579 0.287883 0.767542 1.919825 4.431164 10.092295